Ranking Venture Capital Business Plans by Data Envelopment Analysis Method: A Case Study of an Iranian venture capital company

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

Iran University of Science and Technology

Abstract

of Hatef Company
Evaluation in venture capital industry is one of the most challenging issues from practitioners' and researchers' points of view. Limited time of evaluation, lack of financial data especially from ventures, heuristics and biases in evaluating and some other issues differentiate venture capital evaluation process from other investment methods. Also the speed and accuracy of evaluation are two key success factors for venture capitalists. In this paper, we attempt to overcome some of evaluation challenges by using several mathematical methods including data envelopment analysis (DEA), cross efficiency and VIKOR through decreasing screening time, reducing biased effects and enabling group decision-making with variety of weights. This method does not need any weights as they are calculated within the model. For the purpose of this study, some interviews are conducted and domestic criteria are extracted. The performance of the proposed model is investigated with the aid of the Hatef Company case study. Thereafter, we present a group of domestic criteria, and a standard and mathematical method to support decision-making without any needs for criteria weights or normalization. The results derived from the model are similar to the experts' opinions about the best project, but there are not adequate data to compare the ranking of another project with the experts' opinions.

Keywords

Main Subjects


 Audretsch, D., Bönte, W. & Mahagaonkar, P., 2012. Financial signaling by innovative nascent ventures: The relevance of patents and prototypes. Res. Policy, 41(8), pp. 1407-1421.
Bagheri, K., 2004. Venture capital investment. Tehran: Foundation for Development of Tomorrow.
Banker, A., Charnes, R. & Cooper, W., 2012. Some Models for Estimating Technical and Scale Inefficiencies in Data Envelopment Analysis. S. M. Science, and N. Sep, 30(9), pp. 1078–1092.
Beim, G., 2004. Selecting Projects for Venture Capital Funding: A Multiple Criteria Decision Approach. 1 ed. Moren Lé vesque: Whistler.
Block, J. & De Vries, G., 2014. Trademarks and venture capital valuation. J. Bus. Venture, 29(4), pp. 525–542.
Chan, C. S. R. & Park, H., 2013. The influence of dispositional affect and cognition on venture investment portfolio concentration. J. Bus. Ventur., 28(3), pp. 397–412.
Charnes, A., Cooper, W. W. & Rhodes, E., 1979. Measuring the efficiency of decision-making units. Eur. J. Oper. Res, 3(6), pp. 339.
Dawes, R. M., Faust, D. & Meehl, P. E., 1989. Clinical versus actuarial judgment. Science, 243(4899), p. 1668–1674.
Derakhshan, Sh. & Mohammadi, P., 2014. The Prioritization of Criteria Affecting the Evaluation of Venture Capital Projects. Innovation Management, 3(4), pp.131-152.
Dotzler, F., 2001. What do venture capitalist really do, and where do they learn to do it?. J. Priv. Equity, 5(1), pp. 6-12.
Eslami Bidgoli, Gh. & Bigdelu, M., 2005. Investigating the Criteria for Assessing Entrepreneurial Risk Entrepreneurship. Management knowledge, Volume(68), pp. 3-29.
Eslami Bidgoli, M. & Ahmadi Aval, Gh., 2010. Investigating the Factors Affecting the Evaluation of Entrepreneurial Plans in Venture Capital Companies Using the Network Analysis Process. Entrepreneurship Development Journal, 3(8), pp. 99-120.
Franke, N., Gruber, M., Harhoff, M. & Henkel, J., 2006. What you are is what you like—similarity biases in venture capitalists’ evaluations of start-up teams. J. Bus. Ventur, 21(6), pp. 802–826.
Hall, J. & Hofer, C., 1993. Venture capitalists› decision criteria in new venture evaluation. Journal of Business Venturing, 8(1), pp. 25-42.
Herron, L. & Robinson, R., 1993. A structural model of the effects of entrepreneurial characteristics on venture performance. J. Bus. Ventur, 8(3), pp. 281–294.
Kollmann, T. & Kuckertz, A., 2010. Evaluation uncertainty of venture capitalists’ investment criteria. J. Bus. Res, 63(7), pp. 741-747.
Macmillan, I., Siegel, R. & Narasimha, P., 1985. Criteria used by venture capitalists to evaluate new venture proposals. Journal of Business Venturing, 1(1), pp. 119-128.
Macmillan, I., Zemann, L. & Subbanarasimha, P., 1987. Criteria distinguishing successful from unsuccessful ventures in the venture screening process. Journal of Business Venturing, 2(2), pp. 123-137.
Opricovic, S. & Tzeng, G. H., 2004. European journal of operational research. European journal of operational research, 165(2), pp. 445-455.
Pandey, I. M. & Jang, A., 1996. Venture capital for financing technology in Taiwan. Technovation, 16(9), pp. 499-514.
Rah, J., Jung, K. & Lee, J., 1994. Validation of the venture evaluation model in Korea. Journal of Business Venturing, 9(6), pp. 509-524.
Ramsinghani, M., 2014. «The Business of Venture Capital». 1 ed. New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons.
Ramsinghani, M., 2014. The business of venture capital. New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons.
Sandberg, W. & Hofer, C., 1987. Improving new venture performance: The role of strategy, industry structure, and the entrepreneur. Journal of Business Venturing, 2(1), pp. 5-28.
Siri Terjesen, R. D., Patel, P. C., Fiet, J. O. & D’Souza, R., 2013. Normative rationality in venture capital financing.. technovation, 33(1), pp. 255–264.
Siskos, J. & Zopounidis, C., 1987. The evaluation criteria of the venture capital investment activity: An interactive assessment. Eur. J. Oper. Res, 31(3), pp. 304–313.
Timmons, J. A. & Bygrave, W. D., 1986. Venture capital’s role in financing innovation for economic growth. J. Bus. Ventur, 1(2), pp. 161-176.
Treville, S., Petty, J. S. & Wager, S., 2014. Economies of extremes : Lessons from venture-capital decision making. J. Oper. Manag, 32(6), pp. 387–398.
Tahari Mehrjerdi, M., Shakeri, F. & Babaei, H., 2012. Analysis of the efficiency and ranking of the airports system in the country using the cross-efficiency evaluation approach. Journal of Transportation Research, 9(3), pp. 275-291.
Tyebjee, T. & Bruno, A., 1984. A Model of Venture Capitalist Investment Activity. Management Science, 30(9), pp. 1051-1066.
Zacharakis, A. L. & Shepherd, D., 2001. The nature of information and overconfidence on venture capitalists’ decision making. J. Bus. Ventur, 16(4), pp. 311–332.
Zacharakis, A. & Meyer, G., 2000. The potential of actuarial decision models. Journal of Business Venturing, 15(4), pp. 323-346.
Zhang, X., 2012a. Venture Capital Investment Base on Grey Relational Theory. Phys. Procedia, 33(1), pp. 1825-1832.
Zhang, X., 2012b. Venture Capital Investment Selection Decision-making Base on Fuzzy Theory. Phys. Procedia., 25(1), pp. 1369–1375.
Zopounidis, C., 1994. Venture capital modeling: Evaluation criteria for the appraisal of investments. The Financier ACMT, 1(2), pp. 54-64.