مدیریت نوآوری

مدیریت نوآوری

چارچوب پیش‌بینی عملکرد نیروهای دانشی متقاضی استخدام در سازمان‌های نوآور: رویکردی مبتنی بر فراترکیب و دلفی

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 استادیار، گروه مدیریت، مجتمع مدیریت و مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر، تهران، ایران
2 دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد رشته مدیریت کسب و کار، مجتمع مدیریت و مهندسی صنایع، دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر، تهران،ایران
10.22034/imj.2026.553852.2941
چکیده
با گسترش اقتصاد دانش‌بنیان و افزایش نقش نیروهای دانشی در خلق ارزش و نوآوری، پیش‌بینی عملکرد آنان در مراحل اولیه جذب و استخدام به یکی از چالش‌های محوری مدیریت منابع انسانی تبدیل شده است. هدف پژوهش حاضر، شناسایی و تبیین ابعاد و مؤلفه‌های کلیدی پیش‌بینی عملکرد نیروهای دانشی متقاضی استخدام و ارائه چارچوبی تلفیقی برای بهبود دقت تصمیم‌گیری‌های استخدامی در سازمان‌های نوآور است. این پژوهش با رویکرد کیفی–تلفیقی و در دو مرحله انجام شد. در مرحله نخست، با بهره‌گیری از روش فراترکیب و مرور نظام‌مند ۳۱ مطالعه علمی بین‌المللی منتشرشده در بازه زمانی ۲۰۱۵ تا ۲۰۲۵، ابعاد و مؤلفه‌های اثرگذار بر عملکرد نیروهای دانشی استخراج و بر اساس تحلیل مضمون سامان‌دهی گردید. در مرحله دوم، چارچوب مفهومی استخراج‌شده از طریق روش دلفی دومرحله‌ای و با مشارکت ۱۰ خبره در حوزه‌های مدیریت منابع انسانی و تحلیل داده‌ها اعتبارسنجی شد. نتایج آزمون فریدمن (χ²(29)=145.2, p<0.001) و ضریب توافق کندال (W=0.75) نشان‌دهنده اجماع قوی خبرگان بر اهمیت و تناسب ۳۰ زیرمؤلفه شناسایی‌شده است. یافته‌ها بیانگر آن است که عملکرد نیروهای دانشی پدیده‌ای چندبعدی بوده و تنها از طریق تلفیق داده‌های رفتاری و شناختی، ویژگی‌های فردی و قضاوت انسانی با تحلیل‌های داده‌محور می‌توان به پیش‌بینی دقیق‌تر آن دست یافت. نوآوری پژوهش در ارائه چارچوبی شواهد‌محور و کاربردی نهفته است که می‌تواند مبنای طراحی سامانه‌های هوشمند استخدام در سازمان‌های دانش‌بنیان قرار گیرد.
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

A Framework for Predicting the Performance of Knowledge Worker Job Applicants in Innovative Organizations: A Meta-Synthesis and Delphi-Based Approach

نویسندگان English

Afshin Alipour 1
Morteza Piri 1
Mohammadreza Zolghadr 2
1 Assistant Professor, Department of Management, Faculty of Management and Industrial Engineering, Malek Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
2 M.A. Student in Business Administration, Faculty of Management and Industrial Engineering, Malek Ashtar University of Technology, Tehran, Iran
چکیده English

With the expansion of the knowledge-based economy, predicting the job performance of knowledge workers at the early stages of recruitment has become a critical challenge in human resource management. This study aims to identify the key dimensions and components involved in predicting the performance of knowledge worker applicants and to propose an integrative framework to improve hiring decisions in innovative organizations. Using a qualitative–integrative approach, a meta-synthesis of 31 international studies published between 2015 and 2025 was conducted, and performance-related components were extracted through thematic analysis. The resulting framework was then validated using a two-round Delphi method with 10 experts in human resource management and data analytics. The results of the Friedman test (χ²(29)=145.2, p<0.001) and Kendall’s coefficient of concordance (W=0.75) indicate a strong level of expert consensus on the identified components. The findings suggest that knowledge worker performance is a multidimensional phenomenon that is best predicted through the integration of behavioral and cognitive data, individual characteristics, and human judgment with data-driven analytics. The study offers an evidence-based framework to support intelligent recruitment systems in knowledge-based organizations.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Human Resource Management
Knowledge Workers
Performance Prediction
Innovative Organizations
Meta-Synthesis
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